Three reasons why Kurdistan independence can stir civil war
Video     Photos     Pakistan     World     Islam     Health     Crime     Islamic News     Business     Society     India     Travel     Middle East     Sport     sci/tech      Contact      RSS

Shahid Khaqan Abbasi: Not so Sovereign

Britain to stop military cooperation with Burma army

From terrorism to politics: Can Tehreek-e-Labaik and Milli Muslim league become a political threat for Political parties?

US Might Not Even be Able to Shoot Down North Korean Rockets

Muharram Security Challenge: How to foil Takfiri’s nefarious designs?

Pakistan-Turkey-Iran against military solution to Afghanistan

Is Abbas ready to end his punishment of Gaza?

Kuwait ready to commence Yemen peace talks

Donald Trump : A president or a goon?

Abbasi shakes UN by bold address: Pakistan won't be a 'scapegoat' in Afghan war

Show of poor diplomacy: A wrong message to US

Collapse of Iran deal would send a 'terrible signal': Germany

Egypt’s Sisi urges Palestinians to unite, co-exist with Israelis

UAE and Saudi Arabia to normalize their secret relations with Israel

Dodging accountability courts: Did establishment give a safe passage to Nawaz Sharif?

Netanyahu Says Trump Promised to ‘Fix’ Iran Deal

Free Balochistan: An insider to heavily funded Indian campaign against Pakistan

95,000 patients waiting for unknown fate from the continued closure of Sanaa airport

Brutal lynching: Can Pakistan courts provide Justice to Mashal Khan?

Hamza bin Laden: the heir to al Qaeda?

Why has a UK team genetically edited human embryos?

How Russia came to Pakistan’s help?

Defying Courts: What is next for Nawaz Sharif?

Such TV | Rouhani censures Trump’s anti-Iran rhetoric

President Trump calls for a holocaust on the floor of the United Nations

Iran infiltrated US military, obtained proof of ISIS collusion

Saudi plan to ‘accept Israel as a brotherly state’

United States supplying weapons worth $2.2B to Syrian terrorists organization

LUBP | How dishonest “Social Justice Warriors” work to curb the religious freedoms of targeted groups

“Go Nawaz Go” Makes it to Speed Test Server!

UAE ambassador to Ankara threatens Turkey to close down its embassy

Saudi Arabia's king-in-waiting cements grip on power with charm and crackdowns

US paradoxes and Pakistan’s war against terrorism

Free Balochistan: A joint venture of RAW and CIA to burry CPEC

Confidential U.N. report accuses Saudi coalition of killing hundreds of Yemeni kids

Pakistani teenager develops anti-BlueWhale app

UAE’s ambassador to the U.S considers Saudi Arabia responsible for the ruining of the UAE’s good name

Rabbani seeks official response on anti-Pakistan posters in Switzerland

Nawaz Sharif must not appear before NAB court: Maryam

Trump says if threatened, US will 'totally destroy' North Korea

EXCLUSIVE – Interview with Dr. S.M. Kazem Mesbah Mousavi, Imam Ali Centre Canada

More than 800 Shia pilgrims have to stay at Taftan border for a week

Five eminent Shia scholars banned from entering Gilgit under unjust policy of balance

57 accused charge-sheeted in Mashal Khan lynching case

Nisar lashes out at Khaqan Abbasi, Asif for statements on ‘internal matters’

Pakistan team kicks off training, ahead of Sri Lanka series in UAE

Bank of China permitted to start operations in Pakistan

Pakistan protests with Switzerland over ‘Free Balochistan’ posters

Nawaz Sharif, children fail to appear in court; summons reissued

US paradoxes and Pakistan’s war against terrorism

Saudi plan to ‘accept Israel as a brotherly state’

Was NA-120 election rigged?

UAE ambassador to Ankara threatens Turkey to close down its embassy

Saudi Arabia's king-in-waiting cements grip on power with charm and crackdowns

Confidential U.N. report accuses Saudi coalition of killing hundreds of Yemeni kids

Pakistani teenager develops anti-BlueWhale app

US’ Black Hawk Down in Yemen

Outrage in Egypt over Israeli Flag in educational book

Russo-Saudi closeness: What are two sides’ goals?

Arrest warrants: Should Imran Khan present himself before ECP?

Is Establishment pulling NAB’s strings?

How CIA and Raw are funding Pakistani separatists: An Inside story

An old desire: Is Gov trying to place ISI under civilian control?

Certain Western states still back terror groups in Syria: Assad

Iran, Pakistan army chiefs urge Muslim world action to end Rohingya plight

Iraq vice president: Baghdad won't tolerate creation of ‘second Israel’

Myanmar says US official barred from Rohingya conflict zone

Iraq’s Nujaba Movement condemns terrorist attacks in Nasiriyah

Unofficial results show PML-N’s Kulsoom set to win NA-120 by-election

Is China using North Korea to break US's Super power's myth?

US Plan for New Afghan Force Poses Threat to Civilians

UK arms sales benefiting most from Middle East wars

UAE: Saudi Arabia was going to launch military attack on Qatar

US policy shift: Would Pakistan turn into another Iran for US?

Has Trump become a leader of Arab nationalism?

Is Gwadar a toll plaza?

Would a defeat in NA-120 would end PML-N's politics from Punjab?

Rohingyas of Karachi struggle to deal with identity crisis

Guilt of war crimes: Suicide among US war veterans highest in west

Saudi Crown Prince Calls Off Visit to Paris for Fear of Popular Uprising

Iqna | Georgian Muslim Cleric Urges Boycotting Myanmar to End Massacre of Rohingya

Mehr News | ‘Saudi Arabia, Taliban like brothers’

Such TV | JUIF rejects hiring educated imams in KP mosques

Why US is not happy with Deir Ez-Zor’s recapture from ISIS?

The United States and Russia rejected the request of Israel to keep Iran far from the Syrian border

Netanyahu is the Israeli Trump

Paradiagm shift: Pakistan’s big ‘No” to US aid

Did PML-N verbal attacks on Judiciary affected the Panama review appeal?

Saudi Arabia, Sudan banned from Labour party conference

Kulbhoshan Yadav’s case: Why ICJ will not give decision in favor of Pakistan?

Why emergence of Hafiz Saeed linked-MML in Pakistani politics is almost inevitable

UNICEF says 240,000 Rohingya kids in dangerous situation

We will sink Japan and turn US to 'ashes and darkness', says North Korea

Pakistan Still Hasn’t Received Trump’s Demand List

Saudi security: detained preachers are members of spying cell

Russia urges Syria not to retaliate against Israel airstrike

Controversial Saudi Prince detained

Facts hidden by the UAE about its military aircraft crashed in Yemen and the fate of its crew

‘Blue Whale’ taking a bite out of K-P

Who is pressurising NAB to file appeal in Hudaibiya case?

2017-08-26 17:16:55

Three reasons why Kurdistan independence can stir civil war


Opportunities to found an independent Kurdish state in northern Iraq are sliding almost to zero as an array of sides, most importantly the central Iraqi government and the people themselves, as well as regional and international sides have come against the expected September 25 independence referendum.



The Kurds account for an overwhelming majority of the northern Iraqi region, however, the matter of independence also concerns a series of neighbors like Iran, Turkey, and Syria as they have Kurdish minorities as part of their population.


Reacting to the referendum-related efforts of the Kurdish region’s leaders, Iran and Turkey called the upcoming plebiscite a “big mistake.” This stance was revealed also during visit to Turkey of the Iranian military chief General Mohamad Bagheri who talked to the Turkish officials, stressing the point that the Iraqi sovereignty and political cohesion was one of the core tenets of the Tehran-Ankara policy in relation to the neighboring Iraq.


Amid sensitively volatile regional conditions, any referendum for a Kurdish state can bear adverse results by further destabilization of the already-messy situation in the region. This looks enough for the regional countries like Iran and Turkey to express to the Iraqi officials and also the international sides objection to any referendum bid of the Kurdistan Regional Government, telling them that such an effort will not work for the good of Iraq and even the Kurds themselves.

In mid-July, a delegation of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) visited the Iranian capital Tehran. Iranian officials reportedly received the Kurdish delegation in a friendly manner but took clear and firm stances on the idea of referendum for independence, triggering changes in the Kurdish approach and revision of attempts to hold the voting. The Iranian leaders advised the PUK officials that independence will primarily jeopardize the Kurdish region and eventually all sides’ security and interests.

The Turkish delegation then flew to Baghdad after Tehran trip, to make understanding of the central government’s postures after getting a clear picture of the Iranian position. The Iraqi officials came clean on the need for Kurdistan to stay within Iraq. And now the Kurds seem to have come up with the notion that going the way to independence while major regional actors are objecting can stir an internal fight between the central Iraqi government and them. Analysts argue that if the Kurds announce independence, a war is inevitable, in which in one side stand the Kurds alone and in the other side stand the Iraqi army and very likely a coalition of popular forces who are now busy combating the ISIS terrorist group in the country. Such a war is hard to escape if the Kurdish leaders continue to press forward with independence bid.

Why is a battle inescapable between central government and Kurdistan region in case of Kurdish independence?

  1. Damage to Iraqi sovereignty and unity: Certainly, the main drive of Baghdad leaders to come tough against the independence bid is the will to save the now-endangered national sovereignty. For many decades, the colorful Iraqi ethno-sectarian structure has been cohesive despite a wide range of differences among various social walks. This makes resistance and reaction of the Iraqi people to the Kurdish-spearheaded split of the country unavoidable, and easy to predict.
  2. “Disputed regions” challenge remains unsettled: The issue of disputed regions, addressed in the Iraqi constitution under the Article 140, remains an unresolved matter among the Iraqi political circles. The case has been representing a sticking point between the government and the Kurdish region since 2005. Disputed regions label covers some regions like Kirkuk and some parts of Diyala and Salaheddin provinces on which the government and Kurds struggle for control and demographic structure determination. If the Kurds want to seize their control without any settlement with the central government and the ethnic groups there, they have to face the Sunni and Shiite Arabs and even the Turkmens who inhabit the regions and cannot turn a blind eye to disregard of their voices and rights.
  3. Struggle for rich Kirkuk oilfields: Still another reason that might help a war spark between Baghdad and Erbil is the struggle by the Kurdistan region’s government to control the oil-rich areas of Kirkuk. By declaring independence and annexing Kirkuk to their territories, the Kurds will enjoy huge oil reserves, an intention so far aroused the ire of the central government and the people of Iraq who want single-partied production of energy in their country. The Baghdad officials are antipathetic to the idea that a large part of their country’s oil reserves are usurped by an unauthorized Kurdish state. This is another issue that can set up pretexts for war.

In general, pressing ahead with referendum and then possible independence by the Kurds will never address the Kurdish interests and instead will make very likely a conflict inside Iraq, where new influx of displaced Iraqi Kurds will flood the Iranian and Turkish border areas. Analysts warn that the Kurdish leaders may even lose the territories they got after 1991 and still hold once a war breaks out with Baghdad.

Meanwhile, some sides have been supporting Iraq division. Israeli regime have long been only backers of the Kurdish independence agenda.

Passing a series of crises like the US invasion and occupation and also ISIS presence, Iraq has been struggling for stability, something achievable only by unity and joint work of different Iraqi parties to rebuild the past sovereignty and strength.

While some Iraqi and Kurdish region’s parts have just been liberated from yoke of ISIS, it looks unacceptable for Erbil leaders to talk of independence. Any Kurdistan government’s demands from the central government should normally be made through legal processes in post-ISIS period.



Tags:   US ، Israel ، Iraq ، Civil war ، Kurdistan ،
From other agencies (RSS Reader)

Train spotting

- BBC Asia